Unbiased Expert: Palin Helped McCain

By Stacy Drake

There are a lot of talking heads who, for various reasons, like to imply that Governor Palin somehow cost John McCain the election in 2008. We know that’s completely out of touch with reality, but it doesn’t stop people from trying to sell the idea.

Her supporters, and grassroots Conservatives were there. We know that she energized the ticket and gave people a reason to vote for McCain. She inspired the base, and without her efforts, the Republican ticket would have no doubt suffered a much greater loss.

That said, the Los Angeles Times offered up some strong evidence on Tuesday to support what we already know to be true:

James E. Campbell, chairman of the political science department at the State University of New York, Buffalo, agreed with Gelman about the potential home-state boost, and added:

As to Palin, I think that, on balance, she helped McCain. He went into the conventions behind and came out ahead. The later drop was tied to the financial meltdown. The evidence of that was that Bush’s approval numbers, as low as they were, dropped further and at the same time as McCain. There is no reason why Palin would have cost Bush approval points.

Chairman Campbell is absolutely correct, and the data backs him up. Governor Palin gave her speech at the 2008 Republican National Convention on September 3rd of that year. On that day, John McCain trailed Barack Obama by 5 point, with Obama carrying 48% and McCain with 43%. On September 7th, McCain/Palin took the lead in the race by 10 points. That’s a 15 point gain in four days!

Now, let’s take a look at President George W. Bush’s poll numbers from that same time period to verify Mr. Campbell’s assertion:

George W. Bush had a whopping 30.4% approval rating on September 7th, the same day that McCain was up over Obama by 10. If you look closely, you will see he actually got a small bump after the GOP Convention. Oh, the irony…

By October, after the economic collapse had started to take it’s toll on the country. George W. Bush’s already low numbers did as Chairman Campbell suggested, and dropped further, leaving him with an embarrassing low 25.7% approval rating.

According to another LA Times article from 2008:

The most decisive event in this campaign wasn’t anything either of the candidates said at their respective conventions or in any of the debates. It wasn’t a sound bite from a speech or interview, or a memorable assertion in a television commercial or e-mail attachment.

The turning point in this election didn’t happen on the campaign trail but rather on Wall Street. In the last week of September, the race was essentially tied. Then Wall Street collapsed — and it collapsed right on top of John McCain

It certainly didn’t help, as I’ve pointed out many times, that McCain’s campaign was being run by an incompetent lobbyist, who thought it was a good idea to suspend McCain’s campaign for photo-ops at the White House during the financial meltdown. But enough about Steve Schmidt.

As you can see, McCain also suffered from the news and reality of the economy. On the same day that George W. Bush hit his all-time low, McCain had dropped back down below Obama by almost 7 points.

Nobody who reads this website on a regular basis needed this information. We knew Governor Palin electrified the Republican base in 2008. We knew that the people running John McCain’s campaign fumbled the ball on many occasions, and we knew the economic collapse (on top of other matters) had damaged the Republican party beyond repair.

If any two-bit hack journalist, GOPe talking-head, HBO movie, or left-wing Democrat operative tries to push the the theory that Governor Palin “cost John McCain the election in 2008,” you know they’re full of it, not only because you saw it with your own eyes, but the historical data proves what really cost Republicans the White House in 2008. To say otherwise, is a lie.

(H/T: Steve)

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7 Comments

Filed under In The News, Politics, sarah palin

7 responses to “Unbiased Expert: Palin Helped McCain

  1. Sanchez

    Ted Cruz’ single largest donor, Peter Thiel of San Francisco, is openly gay and supports same-sex marriage. Thiel donated to Cruz $251,000 in 2009 and recently donated $5,000 for Cruz’ Senate primary. He is also the largest single donor to the group backing Cruz – the Club for Growth Action super PAC giving them $1 million in May. Cruz is deceiving Texans about his alliances while claiming to be a Tea Party Republican. It seems that Sarah Palin should have done more homework about Ted before endorsing him, if she is truly opposed to homosexuality. She chased the spotlight at a Chick-fil-a for face time and Cruz bought their fried chicken to serve at his victory party. Seems to me they are both working overtime fleecing the teaparty votes and money.

    • Gary P Jackson

      You think Texans didn’t know about Thiel? He also donated a ton of money, much more than he did Cruz, to Ron Paul. In fact, I wrote about it at the time.

      Sarah has stated it was Mark Levin who turned her on to Ted Cruz. Levin has known Ted Cruz, a constitutional scholar, and the longest serving Solicitor General in Texas history, for 20 years. Texans love and respect the man. He stood up to United Nations, the World Court, and the Obama regime when they attempted to interfere with Texas sovereignty. He won. Cruz has argued, successfully, in front of the Supreme Court on may occasions. He’s a top hand.

      Club for Growth, Tea Party Express, and other grassroots organizations are funded by donations from regular people. It was the people of Texas who made this happen.

      An no, Sarah Palin wasn’t “chasing the spotlight” by going to Chick-fil-A. All she has to do is wake up in the morning and there is a spot light on her. She wanted some chicken, and like millions of Americans did yesterday, voiced her support for a great company.

      Oh, and she doesn’t “oppose homosexuality” she opposes gay marriage. There’s a big difference. I know plenty of gays who oppose gay marriage.

      I can’t tell if you are a hate-filled liberal, or just a butt hurt Dewhurst supporter. Either way, you don’t have the slightest clue about either Ted Cruz or Sarah Palin. Or Texas.

      BTW, Dewhurst is as corrupt as the day is long. He was funded by corrupt lobbyists and special interests, all hoping to keep the tax payer money flowing into their pockets. Dewhurst held a fundraiser at the Washington townhome of George Soros stooge John Podesta. A man who hates America.

      Lets see, taking money from a gay guy, or hanging out with an anti-American thug, whose boss earned money by collaborating with the Nazis in WWII, and is an avowed communist. Which could possible worse.

      Get a clue.

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