By Gary P Jackson
In the latest Gallup poll, forty-six percent [46%] say absolutely no one running would make a good president. That includes not only those running in the Republican Party primaries, but Barack Obama, the current president, as well.
Though the wording was a little different from 1992-2008, which may or may not make a difference, this looks to be the worst showing from the years 1992, 1996, 2000, 2008, and 2011.
In 1992 forty percent [40%] said they were satisfied that there was a candidate that would make a good president, forty-one percent [41%] saying there was none. This season, it’s forty-eight percent [48%] yes, forty-six [46%] no.
As you see, back in 1992 nineteen percent [19%] had no opinion, this year a mere six percent. [6%]
This falls in line with all of the talk [hope, wishcasting] about brokered conventions and late entries from other candidates, including Sarah Palin.
Let’s face it, when a political party has Ron Paul leading the polls in the first state to vote, it is in deep trouble. The good news, is this poll also includes democrats, so it’s not like many of them are really pleased with Barack Obama’s performance either.
Sadly, thanks to the Republican Establishment™ and other factors, we’ve went from a contest where a ham sandwich on stale bread could have beaten Obama, to jump ball. We’re still seeing polls where “generic Republican” beats Obama handily, even as the declared candidates do not.
Another telling question in this survey is:
Fifty-four percent [54%] do not think any of the candidates have come up with good ideas for solving the country’s problems. Only 1992 was worse, when sixty-one percent [61%] thought the same.
Gallup’s bottom line:
Americans give mixed signals in response to these poll questions asking about the state of the presidential election this year. They are not strongly pleased with the choice of presidential candidates so far in this campaign, suggesting, as was the case in 1992, that a third-party challenger — or a new candidate emerging to challenge for the GOP nomination — could find some success.
Americans are also displeased with the way in which the campaign process is working, which could be part of the more general negative attitude Gallup is finding toward the way the nation’s government is working.
On the other hand, Americans’ views of the candidates’ ideas for solving problems are actually more positive now than they were in 1992, although less positive than in January 2008.
All in all, Americans’ views of the election process so far share some similarities to what they were in early 1992, when an incumbent president was also running for re-election in the context of a troubled economy. It is too early to tell how the 2012 election will play out over the next 11 months, but the 1992 election ended up with a relatively strong third-party challenger and, ultimately, the defeat of the incumbent president.
Read the entire polling results here.
If only there was a candidate who had:
1. High name recognition
2. Passionate supporters who are willing to organize [and already are behind the scenes]
3. A strong, consistent conservative message
4. An actual record of doing what must be done
5. The ability to connect with people
6. The ability to raise enough money, as Haley Barbour once described: “To burn a wet mule.”
If only that person existed.
Thanks to maneuvering by Establishment Republicans™ and a lot of Conservatives more worried about finding a candidate named “Not Mitt Romney” than keeping their eye on the ball, we are now in this mess.
I trust Sarah Palin’s decision not to run. She has great political instincts. Instincts on par with Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton. Don’t care if you don’t like Clinton, no one can say the man doesn’t have good instincts. That said, situations change.
I don’t think Sarah Palin’s interview with Eric Bolling, where she answered the question if it was too late for her to enter the race, and she replied no, it wasn’t too late for “someone” to jump in, was necessarily a sign she was reconsidering. More just saying someone could jump in. It was, however a big deviation from her normal routine of saying she’s satisfied with her decision not to run.
Couple this with the fact she told Fox News’ Shannon Bream she wasn’t happy with the GOP field, and I find it hard to believe the thought of her running hasn’t at least casually crossed her mind.
The 2012 election will be like no other. Not only is it essential we remove President Obama, and as many democrats as humanly possible from power, it’s also essential we choose a leader, and supporting cast [Congress] that truly want what’s best for America, and not just themselves and their cronies.
As always, I’m torn. I respect Sarah’s decision not to run. I understand family comes first, as it should. I also see a real possibility of Barack Obama retaining power, because of the candidates we have. I also know we have a couple of candidates who would be as bad as Obama, if not worse. And shockingly, they stand a really good chance of being our nominee.
Sarah Palin is the only one who could realistically jump in this thing and win, as a Republican. She has the name recognition. She has the ability to connect with voters like no one else. Her message resonates with everyone. If there was ever the right person, at the right time, with the right message, it’s Sarah Palin.
Though I think she would have no problem raising money from a select few large donors [Becky Beach, the big mover and shaker in Iowa, has let it be known she wanted Sarah to run] and let it be known that money wasn’t buying her, just supporting the best candidate for the job, I think she could match Barack Obama, dollar for dollar, from smaller donations of $200 or less.
Better yet, absolutely no one does retail politics better than Sarah Palin. She’s said over and over that meeting and talking with people is her favorite part of the campaign. And it shows.
A lot of the early state’s filing deadlines have passed, but the new GOP rules, which mean the early states are no longer “winner take all” is a real game changer. She is the only candidate who could generate the sort of enthusiasm to mount a serious write-in campaign.
Eisenhower, Nixon, and JFK, all had write-in victories during their primaries.
In 1964 Henry Cabot Lodge beat Barry Goldwater in New Hampshire, as a write-in,even though he wasn’t a candidate. Lodge, at the time, was the Ambassador to South Vietnam, and not even in the country when supporters pulled that off.
Stranger things have happened than the idea of Sarah Palin jumping in, and racking up win after win, as a write-in candidate.
Besides most of the state’s deadlines have not passed, and some states allow late entries to gain access by petition.
If nothing else, it could force that brokered convention everyone is talking about!
The Republican Establishment™ has been talking up Jeb Bush as a late entry of their very own, based on an op-ed he recently penned. Rush Limbaugh talked about Jeb, whose supporters say it would be easy, as Bush only has four letters. Rush notes Palin is only five!
Some people believe in signs from above, some don’t. Also, what may be interpreted as a sign of one thing by one person, may not be an actual sign to the person intended. All I know, from where I sit, I see a lot of signs that a door which was left open, has been steadily opening wider. At some point, it’s going to be blown off it’s hinges!
Gallup talks about the possibility of an independent run, by someone. If there was ever a year this might work, it would be 2012. And Sarah Palin is the one who could pull it off. However, it would still be risky, and the chance of failure just too high. The likely outcome would be four more years of Obama, and no one wants that.
It’s either get in the race as a Republican, and get in soon, or not.
As I wrote in my analysis Supporting Sarah Palin’s Mission to Eliminate Corruption vs Presidential Politics … UPDATED presidents come and go, and it’s essential we focus on taking back the Senate, building on the House majority, and making sure those we put in place are like-minded reformers.
Sudden and relentless reform …. lasting enduring reform …. is the legacy we need to leave from this election.
We can change government, cleaning it up, making it more efficient. We can change history, and make things so much better for generations to come. We don’t need a title to pull this off. Just a combination of a desire to make it so, and the hard work to go along with it.
Sure would be fun to have a President Palin in office working for us though.
I still think the chances of Sarah jumping in are slim and none, but again, stranger things have happened, and after her last round of interviews, it’s hard to believe she’s not at least thinking about running, if only for a fleeting moment.