Tag Archives: Over Regulation

The Heavy Cost of the Global Warming Hoax

By Gary P Jackson

We all know “global warming” is a hoax,. In fact, as reported yesterday, the very idea that man can cause the earth’s temperatures to rise and fall by our activities is provably false.

On March 21 Lord Monckton, the Viscount of Brenchly, and one of the leading skeptics of the “global warming” scam, spoke at the state capital in Sacramento, California. The event was organized by the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT)

In testimony before the state legislature, Lord Monckton outlines both the monetary and the human cost of the insane legislation California has enacted to deal with a non-problem. He also says something few ever do, IF and it’s a big if, there actually is some sort of warming going on, it would be much more effective to spend our money adapting to the climate, rather than just throwing money away on a quixotic quest to stop the climate from changing, something man is incapable of.

What Lord Monckton’s testimony shows is how the left, with their notions, are destroying jobs and lives. California, which has some of the strictest anti-energy, anti-growth laws in the country, is driving major corporations out of the state. These corporations take their tax dollars with them. As the left wants to use California as a model for the rest of the nation, one can see massive migration of America’s top businesses to other countries. Countries that haven’t bought into the self-destructive insanity being peddled by the “greens.”

From Anthony Watts and his Watts Up With That blog:

Testimony of

The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley

California State Assembly

21 March 2012

IN the 6 decades since 1950 the world has warmed at a rate equivalent to 2 F°/century. The IPCC’s central estimate is that in the 9 decades to 2100 the rate will be 6 F°/century, three times the observed rate.

Two-thirds of the warming predicted by the IPCC’s (non-peer-reviewed) models is supposed to arise from temperature feedbacks. None of these feedbacks can be measured. There is no consensus about how big they are. There are powerful scientific reasons to suspect the IPCC has very greatly overstated them.

The principal conclusions of each of the four IPCC Assessment Reports are questionable:

2007: The IPCC twice concludes that the rate of warming is speeding up and we are to blame. But it uses a false statistical technique to reach its conclusion.

2001: The IPCC concludes that today’s temperatures are warmer than in 1300 years. How it reached this conclusion is under criminal investigation.

1995: The scientists had concluded that no discernible human effect on climate could be found. Just one man rewrote the report to say the opposite.

1990: The IPCC predicted rapid warming. A generation has passed and the predicted warming has not happened. This and many other predictions are overblown:

Global temperature is rising more slowly than IPCC’s least estimate;

Sea level has been rising for eight years at just 1.3 inches/century;

Ocean heat content has barely risen in 6 years;

Hurricanes and tropical cyclones are quieter than for 30 years;

Global sea-ice extent has changed little in 30 years;

Methane concentration is up just 20 parts per billion since 2000;

The tropical hot-spot the IPCC predicts as our footprint is absent;

Outgoing radiation is escaping to space much as usual.

California’s carbon tax, with other statewide measures to curb CO2 emissions, will cost $450 billion by 2020.

Even if 25% of California’s emissions are abated by 2020, just 0.4% of global emissions will have been abated; CO2 concentration by 2020, instead of the business-as-usual 413 parts per million by volume the IPCC predicts, will be 412.9 ppmv; just one-thousandth of a Fahrenheit degree of warming will be abated;

The cost of abating the 0.3 F° warming the IPCC predicts to 2020 by measures as cost-(in)effective as California’s policies would be $180 trillion, or $25,500 per head of global population, or a third of global GDP over the period;

And the cost of preventing the 6 F° warming the IPCC predicts by 2100 would be $2700 trillion, or more than 10 times the maximum 3%-of-GDP cost of climate-related damage arising from not mitigating this predicted 21st-century warming at all.

Environmental over-regulation, cap-and-tax, “renewable”-energy mandates, and a 40-year ban on most offshore drilling are crippling California.

The Monterey Shale holds 15 billion barrels of oil, yet over-regulation has cut production by more than a third to just 200 million barrels a year.

Now 11% are jobless in California, second only to Nevada in the US (50% are jobless in construction); the 2012/13 State deficit is $6 billion; unfunded pension liabilities are $250 billion;

50,000 rich Californians (one-third of them) fled in 2007-2009, taking their businesses and jobs with them: twice as many firms fled the once-Golden State in 2011 as in 2010; Intel says it will never build another plant here; Globalstar, Trizetto, and eEye fled in just one month; Boeing, Toyota, Apple, Facebook, and DirecTV have all fled. The wagons are heading East.

The bottom line: No policy to abate global warming by taxing, trading, regulating, reducing, or replacing greenhouse-gas emissions will prove cost-effective solely on grounds of the welfare benefit from climate mitigation.

CO2 mitigation strategies that are inexpensive enough to be affordable will be ineffective; strategies costly enough to be effective will be unaffordable. Focused adaptation to any adverse consequences of any warming that may occur is many times more cost-effective. Since the premium greatly exceeds the cost of the risk, don’t insure.

Every red cent spent now on trying to stop global warming is a red cent wasted. Don’t mitigate: sit back, enjoy the sunshine, and adapt only if and when and to the extent necessary. That, however unfashionable, is the economically prudent and scientifically sensible course.

More on the event here.



Filed under In The News, Politics